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Whereas at the Court at Buckingham Palace on the 9th day of September 1907, His late Majesty King Edward the Seventh made a Proclamation declaring that the Colony of New Zealand shall be called and known by the title of the Dominion of New Zealand: And whereas by certain Letters Patent bearing date the 28th day of October 1983 Her Majesty the Elizabeth the Second has ordered and declared that the Governor-General and Commander-in-Chief shall be Her Majesty’s representative in the Realm of New Zealand: And whereas it appears expedient to Us that the name and nature of this Realm shall be modified or declared to be otherwise, with modifications made to that effect: Now therefore We do hereby proclaim as follows:
This Proclamation may be cited as the Aotearoa Proclamation 2020.
2. State of Aotearoa
The said Dominion of New Zealand and the territory belonging thereto shall be called and known by the title of the State of Aotearoa and the Royal Proclamation dated the 9th day of September 1907 shall be revoked. And we hereby give Our Commands to all Public Departments and name all Titles, Orders, and Offices construed under such Proclamations, Instructions, and Letters Patent accordingly.
3. Realm of Aotearoa
Our Realm, hitherto known as the Realm of New Zealand, shall henceforth be known as Our Realm of Aotearoa which comprises—
(a) the State of Aotearoa; and
(b) the self-governing state of the Cook Islands; and
(c) the self-governing state of Niue; and
(d) the self-governing state of Tokelau; and
(e) the Ross Dependency.
Given at Our Court at Government House, Wellington, this 23rd day of September 2020, in the Sixty-ninth year of Our Reign. Sylviagony, Prime Minister. God Save The Queen!
2020.09.21 06:26 hurky333Dates for matches at the Basin Reserve this summer may be confirmed...
In a photo posted today to Instagram by the Alternative Commentary Collective (ACC), the Wellington City Council appears to have released some dates (in a newspaper) for domestic and international matches at the Basin Reserve (Buckle Street is the street name of the roundabout one of the streets which surrounds the Basin - thanks u/_dictatorish_!). The photo is just speculation - I don't live in Wellington so I don't know what local paper this was published in, and I haven't found any news articles confirming the full 2020/21 NZ cricket schedule with dates and locations yet. What's interesting to me is that Tim Southee has liked the ACC's post - not sure that means anything though.
2020.09.18 23:43 rocksrocksrockHiking and sightseeing buds?
Hi all, I'm currently planning on traveling from Wellington to Auckland between the dates of November 14th and November 21st following a research cruise offshore the North Island. I am looking for buddies (preferably ladies) to hike and sightsee with or just general advice on where to visit and get around. Any help would be so appreciated!
2020.09.18 23:41 rocksrocksrockHiking and sightseeing buds?
Hi all, I'm currently planning on traveling from Wellington to Auckland between the dates of November 14th and November 21st following a research cruise offshore the North Island. I am looking for buddies (preferably ladies) to hike and sightsee with or just general advice on where to visit and get around. Any help would be so appreciated!
Club Jorge Wilstermann: J. Arrascaita (SUB 76'), R. Pedriel (SUB 76'), D. Torrico (SUB 79'), R. Montero, L. Ojeda, J. Reyes, W. Álvarez, R. Ballivian, P. Laredo, A. Melean, J. Ortíz, O. Vaca Athletico Paranaense: Pedrinho (SUB 64'), Ravanelli (SUB 64'), Abner (SUB 78'), Walter (SUB 83'; G 90'+1'), Carlos Eduardo (SUB 84'), Bento, Guilherme Bissoli, Lucas Halter, Richard, José Ivaldo, J. Alvarado, Léo Gomes
1': Yellow card shown to E. Orfano ( Club Jorge Wilstermann). 11': Goal! G. Álvarez scores [C. Chávez assist] — Club Jorge Wilstermann -0 Athletico Paranaense . 16': Yellow card shown to Erick ( Athletico Paranaense). 38': Yellow card shown to J. Aponte ( Club Jorge Wilstermann). 40': Goal! L. González scores (Penalty) — Club Jorge Wilstermann 1- Athletico Paranaense . 56': Goal! Serginho scores [P. Rodríguez assist] — Club Jorge Wilstermann -1 Athletico Paranaense . 62': Yellow card shown to C. Chávez ( Club Jorge Wilstermann). 64': Substitution for Athletico Paranaense: Pedrinho in, L. González out. 64': Substitution for Athletico Paranaense: Ravanelli in, Geuvânio out. 69': Yellow card shown to Christian ( Athletico Paranaense). 74': Goal! Christian scores [Fabinho assist] — Club Jorge Wilstermann 2- Athletico Paranaense . 76': Yellow card shown to Serginho ( Club Jorge Wilstermann). 76': Substitution for Club Jorge Wilstermann: J. Arrascaita in, P. Rodríguez out. 76': Substitution for Club Jorge Wilstermann: R. Pedriel in, G. Álvarez out. 78': Substitution for Athletico Paranaense: Abner in, Márcio Azevedo out. 79': Substitution for Club Jorge Wilstermann: D. Torrico in, C. Melgar out. 83': Substitution for Athletico Paranaense: Walter in, Christian out. 84': Substitution for Athletico Paranaense: Carlos Eduardo in, Fabinho out. 88': Red card (2nd yellow) shown to Serginho ( Club Jorge Wilstermann). 90'+1': Goal! Walter scores [Jonathan assist] — Club Jorge Wilstermann 2- Athletico Paranaense .
2020.09.15 20:27 PeterJakesonTWD: Season 3 Import Save from Season 2 Problem, please help!
So a long time ago I got The Walking Dead Season 2 on Xbox 360, can't remember if it was with the games with gold thing or I bought it, but in the proceeding years on Xbox one I was able to play from the 360 version of the game, including season 1. I don't know if the problem stems from this. Since season 3 didn't come out on the Xbox 360, it means the save imports aren't as simple as they used to be. I was able to import my 2020-TWD: S1 progress to the S2 game I just finished today. Now I want to play Season 3 with my current S2 save. Problem is, when I booted up S3 and went to see if I could important specific saves from the past seasons. I found I only got one and that was the S1/S2 saves I had from years ago, so not from my 2020 S2 progress. I know you can have a number of saves to import technically, but only my old one appeared instead of my recently dated save. No option came up to pick which save I wanted. I created a telltale account and went to upload my S2 save to the cloud from the menu, in hopes of being able to use it in S3, but that didn't work. The episodes menu shows that I can only continue from my old save. For example, my old save had me leaving for Howe's with Jane, whereas in my recent game I went to Wellington and bid farewell to Kenny. I don't know what I did wrong in the process or how to fix this. I can only use save 1, but not save 2. Does anyone know how this works so I can get around this frustrating issue?
In the past couple of weeks I have been diving a little bit more into the fundamentals of Lordstown Motors and their merging company Diamond Peak Holdings Corp. There has been a lot of bullish and bearish talk about this SPAC and I have found some interesting information about LM. I managed to get in touch with one of the CEOs of their partner subcomponent companies (can't tell which one). NOTE: I do own some stocks of DPHC which unfortunately makes my opinion more biased, but that is only because the barriers and cons of this stock that I found are not severe and can be overreached with small changes (will tell you in the CON section of the DD). Feel free to write your own opinion in the comments and if you have some more information, please tell me. I, along with everyone else, don’t want to lose money on this one. PS: do your own research before buying! I am not a stock analyst nor is this my primary profession. INTRODUCTION: Lordstown Motors primary product that will hit the market in 2021 is their pickup Endurance which is made in America at their headquarters in Lordstown, Ohio. In addition to their experienced executive team made up of automotive leaders from Tesla, Toyota, GM, VW, Hyundai, and more, they already own an ex-GM manufacturing factory which is being remodelled as we speak for the acambalence of their new pickup. The combined company will take the name Lordstown Motors and trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol RIDE. REASONS FOR EV MARKET TO GROW: The electric vehicle market has witnessed rapid evolution with the ongoing developments in the automotive sector. Favorable government policies and support in terms of subsidies and grants, tax rebates and other non-financial benefits in form of carpool lane access, and new car registration, the increasing vehicle range, better availability of charging infrastructure and proactive participation by automotive OEMs would drive the global electric vehicle sales. Developing electric infrastructure and rising emission concerns and rising government concerns are likely to propel the overall market. The electric vehicle market is estimated to grow from 3,269,671 units in 2019 to 26,952,318 units in 2030. Source: https://www.marketsandmarkets.com/Market-Reports/electric-vehicle-market-209371461.html INVESTORS: The deal includes $500 million private investment in public equity, with General Motors (GM) investing $75 million and institutional investors Fidelity, Wellington and BlackRock (BLK) also investing in the electric vehicle startup, the companies said.The transaction implies a $1.6 billion equity value for Lordstown. The companies expect the deal to close in the beginning of October, based on the preliminary proxy statement (PREM14A) that they filed a couple of days ago. Source: https://www.investors.com/news/electric-car-stocks-boom-speeds-up-gm-backed-lordstown-motors-diamondpeak /?src=A00220&fbclid=IwAR2NiT4DlSTIwPquHeiLvTyvo8L-zFxuQan3PzHO239VtpXiEHTj6Qo_n90 TRUCK: Revealed in June, the Endurance is a full-size electric pickup truck with about 250 miles of range. One of the truck’s standout features is that it is powered by four electric hub motors, with one in each wheel (as opposed to placing them on the axle). This makes it possible to precisely deliver differing amounts of torque to each wheel, which helps in tough driving conditions. The truck will start at $52,500. A four wheel pickup truck has 4 HUB in-wheel electric motors that generate a pick output of 600hp and it has a towing capacity of 7,500 pounds. Top speed is limited through a PC software to 80mph (128km/h) and it can be charged in 10h from a level 2 charger and in just half an hour at a level 3 DC charger. It seats 5 people and will offer over-the-year updates and real time online fold monitoring such as power outputs for tools and accessories. It is directed toward a commercial fleet, touting its low operating costs, compared with its gasoline-powered F150. Source: https://www.digitaltrends.com/cars/lordstown-endurance-release-date-price-specs-and-more/ ADVANTAGES: My contact at ____ tells me a major part of their advantage has to do with LMs fast organization and engagement, as well as their well structured business model. When it comes to a vehicle itself, the endurance truck is a first HUB in-wheel powered vehicle, therefore fighting a major space problem other EVs have. This setup features multiple advantages, including superior traction in low-friction surfaces (muddy or slippery conditions). Obviously, that’s a crucial component for a commercially used pickup truck. They are also lighter than other electric motors and are created out of less parts where drivers and operators won't have to deal with the recurring, almost incessant maintenance typical for combustion-engine trucks. Over time, the cost-savings, especially for fleet operators, will be incredibly significant. Other companies like Lamborghini, Toyota, Nissan, Lexus (LF-30) and Kia (Foturon) are announcing their own OEM in-wheel cars. Price-performance is in some ways “better” than their competitors. Subjectively speaking, however, it is not necessarily better at all specifications compared to their biggest rivals Tesla and Riviana. Political background behind this stock is extremely important. In their introduction video, Mike Pence gave a 30 minute speech, and both Trump and Biden have mentioned the vehicle when trying to persuade their Ohio voters. Now even the Ohio governor’s grandson works for LM. Because of the presidential campaigns, we could see more of LM in the major news. DISADVANTAGES: By moving the motor to the wheels, the Endurance has an unsprung weight dilemma. In a practical view, unsprung components absorb the forces of the road independently to the rest of the vehicle. Thus, this creates potential reliability issues. What is more, the wheels represent rotational mass, meaning they also absorb torque. However, specialists in this field are now uniformed that the problem can be fixed with correctly tuned suspension. There is a lot of competition out there and the product is not jet consumer tested. One californian company did get it for a test ride, but has so far only posted pictures of the product and has not released any additional information. Source: https://investorplace.com/2020/09/2-pros-2-cons-to-consider-diamondpeak-stock/?fbclid=IwAR2NiT4DlSTIwPqu HeiLvTyvo8L-zFxuQan3PzHO239VtpXiEHTj6Qo_n90 https://www.reddit.com/SPACs/comments/iqxwwp/dphcdphcw_may_enter_correction_territory_next_week/?utm _medium=android_app&utm_source=share POTENTIAL GROWTH: we are all familiar with some other stocks in this field like TSLA, NIO, SHLL, SPAQ, NKLA(RIP)... that gained up to 550% just in the last year. It is no secret that EV are one of the biggest trends right now. Last November, Lordstown purchased GM's Lordstown assembly plant, a 6.2 million square foot facility capable of producing 600,000 electric vehicles annually. In June, Lordstown unveiled a prototype Endurance pickup truck and has received more than 38,000 preorders representing more than $2billion of potential revenue from commercial fleet customers, the company said. Although you have to take into account that the pre-order will cost you 100$ and is completely refundable. That being said, if they manage to keep at least 15% of the pre-orders until 2021 that translates to a 300million revenue just at the beginning of January. In the official report they are forecasting to produce 107,000 EV by 2024. Electric vehicles have proven to have ridiculass P/S ratios meaning DPHC has plenty of room to grow. My optimistic opinion would aim toward ~$40 before merger puting the market cap at 1,4B. In 2021, if the vehicle proves itself, it could spike to a much higher number. Beware!! this is my personal opinion. It can stay $22 or it can skyrocket like we have seen with SHLL ($54 high) and NKLA ($80 high). Would love to see your prediction in the comments. RISK: if the merge will not go through the price will for sure drop back to $10, but this is the risk with all SPACs and is not likely to happen with this one. There was also one discussion on this sub claiming that some insiders are in it for the short run and will sell their stocks when the stock reaches its “high”. However, the comments containing such claims have since been deleted and could be misleading; in an attempt to bring the current price down a bit. If you have some information on this, please leave a comment below. Either way, I think this stock will get a nice pump before the merge. Especially due to DPHC management teams political connections and heavy institutionsholding shares such as Deutsche Bank, Glazer Capital, HSBC holdings,JP Morgan Chase&Co... Source: https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/dphc/institutional-holdings That is my DD on LM and DPHC. I hope you like it and that the motherators won't remove it for some reason!
Date: 13/09/2020 — 21:00 CEST, 15:00 EDT, 20:00 BST, 00:30 IST Competition: Serie A (Round 10) Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro) Referee: Braulio da Silva Machado
Fluminense: Nino (SUB 26'), Felippe Cardoso (SUB 61'), Luiz Henrique (SUB 61'), Ganso (SUB 83'), Yago Felipe (SUB 84'), Miguel Silveira, Yuri, Marcos Felipe, F. Pacheco, Igor Julião, Daniel, Matheus Ferraz Corinthians: Everaldo (SUB 18'), Mateus Vital (SUB 46'; G 90'+5'), Ramiro (SUB 58'), Camacho (SUB 58'; YC 66'), Sidcley (SUB 78'), Xavier, Roni, Guilherme, Matheus Alvarenga, Walter (YC 21'), A. Araos, Ronald
4': Yellow card shown to Gabriel ( Corinthians). 8': Goal! Nenê scores — Fluminense -0 Corinthians . 18': Substitution for Corinthians: Everaldo in, Éderson out. 21': Yellow card shown to Walter ( Corinthians). 26': Substitution for Fluminense: Nino in, Digão out. 36': Yellow card shown to Dodi ( Fluminense). 46': Yellow card shown to B. Méndez ( Corinthians). 46': Substitution for Corinthians: Mateus Vital in, Gustavo Mosquito out. 58': Substitution for Corinthians: Ramiro in, Gabriel out. 58': Substitution for Corinthians: Camacho in, V. Cantillo out. 61': Substitution for Fluminense: Felippe Cardoso in, Marcos Paulo out. 61': Substitution for Fluminense: Luiz Henrique in, M. Araújo out. 66': Yellow card shown to Nenê ( Fluminense). 66': Yellow card shown to Camacho ( Corinthians). 78': Substitution for Corinthians: Sidcley in, Lucas Piton out. 83': Substitution for Fluminense: Ganso in, Húdson out. 84': Substitution for Fluminense: Yago Felipe in, Wellington Silva out. 88': Goal! Nenê scores (Penalty) — Fluminense -0 Corinthians . 90'+2': Red card shown to Danilo Barcelos ( Fluminense). 90'+5': Goal! Mateus Vital scores [Gil assist] — Fluminense 2- Corinthians .
Maximizing the probability that the 6-week lock-down in Victoria delivers a COVID-19 free Australia
Tony Blakely, Jason Thompson, Natalie Carvalho, Laxman Bablani, Nick Wilson and Mark StevensonMed J Aust Published online: 17 July 2020 https://www.mja.com.au/journal/2020/maximizing-probability-6-week-lock-down-victoria-delivers-covid-19-free-australia This article has now been accepted for publication and has undergone full peer review but has not completed the copyediting, typesetting, pagination and proofreading process; further changes may be made before final publication. The current revised version is available as a PDFhereand is onlinehere(4 September 2020). This is a preprint version of an article submitted for publication in the Medical Journal of Australia. Changes may be made before final publication. Clickherefor the PDF version. Suggested citation: Blakely T, Thompson J, Carvalho N, Bablani L, Wilson N, Stevenson M.Maximizing the probability that the 6-week lock-down in Victoria delivers a COVID-19 free Australia.Med J Aust 2020;https://www.mja.com.au/journal/2020/maximizing-probability-6-week-lock-down-victoria-delivers-covid-19-free-australia[Preprint, 17 July 2020]. Victoria is the unlucky state in a lucky country. Most other states and territories, except for NSW, have achieved elimination of community transmission of the pandemic virus SARS-CoV-2 (28 or more days of no locally acquired cases where the source is unknown). The situation in NSW is mixed and precarious. On the one hand, NSW has a current outbreak of 40 cases (as of 16 July) linked to the Crossroads Hotel outbreak in Casula. On the other hand, until 16 July there had only been three locally acquired cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection with no known source in the preceding 28 days suggesting NSW was on the cusp of elimination 1 – but three cases have been reported on 16 July with no obvious link to the current outbreak.2 If NSW successfully contains this outbreak, it may resume its prior trajectory towards the elimination of local transmission, leaving Victoria isolated as the only state with community transmission. It seems highly unlikely that states and territories that have eliminated local transmission will relinquish their status by freely opening borders and engaging with Victoria (and NSW if community transmission remains). Australia going forward as two separate systems (six or seven states and territories having eliminated the virus, one or two not) is a significant concern. Both the Victorian economy (comprising 23.7% of Australia’s economy 3) and the wider Australian economy will be adversely impacted for a long period due to the public health measures necessary to prevent and control recurrent outbreaks arising from resurgent community transmission. There are three general strategic policy responses to the challenge of COVID-19: elimination, suppression, and mitigation (or herd immunity). No response is free of economic, social and health harms – rather, it is about minimising harm.4 Society has largely rejected a mitigation response due to the high morbidity and mortality inherent (e.g. if 60% of the population were infected the number of deaths may exceed 100,000 under current case fatality rates 5). We argue that explicitly pushing towards a strategy of elimination across all of Australia is optimal given where we are at and what we know.
We know from New Zealand (NZ; population 5.0 million)6 and Taiwan (23.8 million)7 that elimination of community transmission is achievable in island jurisdictions, both having no reported community transmission for over two months as of 10 July.8 The advantage of elimination is that despite international border closures or strict quarantine, citizens can go about life with a near-normal functioning of their society and economy. Elimination has challenges. First, there is the extra effort to achieve it – and the fact that aiming to achieve elimination does not guarantee success. Second, having achieved elimination, there would be the constant risk of the virus re-entering due to quarantine breaches. This is evident from the two quarantine hotels in Melbourne that leaked cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection. However, if we learn from experience, there is no reason why the quarantine of arrivals to a country cannot be made near-perfectly secure with the appropriate processes and resources. How sustainable a COVID-19 free nation with tight border controls is in the very long term is unclear, especially when international tourism begins to be resurrected in the rest of the world. If an effective vaccine does not arrive in the next year or so, then at some point a COVID-19 free country may choose to pivot away from maintaining elimination towards suppression or mitigation. This could involve the easing of border restrictions and the return of disease spread but where the mortality and morbidity burden is substantially lessened through improved treatments and social mechanisms to protect the elderly and vulnerable (e.g. good ring-fencing of rest-homes). The point now, though, is that living in a state or country that has achieved elimination is a far better option than suppression in the short- to medium-term, compared to the high likelihood of recurrent outbreaks precipitating recurrent lock-downs with attendant social and economic disruption. For example, NZ used a more stringent lock-down that Australia in March to April 2020 (Supplementary Figure 1 - available in PDF), rapidly achieved elimination, and its economy appears to have bounced back more strongly than Australia’s, at least on the measure of payroll job estimates (Supplementary Figure 2 - available in PDF). So too, COVID-19 free Australian states and territories (e.g., Queensland) are benefiting economically, enabling the re-opening of business activity and hosting of national sporting teams and fixtures such as the AFL.
Is elimination achievable with a six-week lock-down?
Lock-downs are effective for pandemic control.9,10 Our case for an explicit elimination strategy in Victoria, now, is that given the State is in lock-down for six-weeks there is only a marginal cost of ‘going hard’ with a rigorous public health response that increases the probability of achieving elimination. But is elimination achievable within six-weeks? We examined four policy scenarios using an agent-based model, a type of micro-simulation of individuals. The model accurately reflects the prior experience of both NZ and Australia 11, and in this paper, we have adapted it to Victoria (including the case counts up to 14 July) (see Appendix for details - available in PDF). The four policy approaches were:
Standard, reflecting the first Australian lock-down (calibrated in ), with key parameters including 85% of people observing physical distancing; of those observing physical distancing, they do so 85% of the time; 30% of adult workers are essential workers; 93% of people asked to isolate doing so; 20% uptake of COVID-Safe App; but no closure of schools and no mask-wearing.
Standard plus masks at 50%, above plus 50% of people wearing masks when in crowded indoor environments.
Stringent with masks at 50%, schools closed and essential workers restricted to 20% of workers, otherwise as above.
Stringent with masks at 90%, above with mask use increased to 90%.
Figure 1 (available in PDF) shows the percentage likelihood of elimination in Victoria, defined as the date of clearance of infection by the last case. The observable moment of 28 days without a locally acquired case with no known contact follows by about another two weeks. Under the ‘Standard‘ policy approach, there is no chance that all infected people will have cleared their SARS-CoV-2 infection by 19 August (six-weeks after lock-down started). The probabilities for the other three policy approaches are 5% for ‘Standard plus masks at 50%’; slightly more at about 7% for ‘Stringent with masks at 50%’; and nearly 50% for ‘Stringent plus masks at 90%’. As an important aside, as we have updated these model runs in the week since lockdown began, the curves have been shifting to the right due to the ongoing high numbers of daily cases. If Victoria gets on top of the current outbreak, these probabilities may improve, and the curves shift to the left – but also vice versa. We will update these models on a regular basis. Undertaking simulation modelling of SARS-CoV-2 policy options is challenging and the uncertainties are still large. Nevertheless, our results lend weight to the proposition that elimination is achievable, and that mandatory wearing of masks can greatly assist its chances.
A ten-point plan to maximize the chance of elimination in Victoria
Box 1 (available in PDF) gives enhancements to the stay-at-home orders used in the first lock-down, that should see an increased probability of elimination being achieved. The first and critical point is leadership. Victoria’s Premier Daniel Andrews (and indeed all State and Territory Premiers) should explicitly declare ‘elimination’ as the goal. This should be accompanied by increased transparency and target-setting including the appointment of an expert advisory group in order to increase trust in the process. An explicit goal will more likely avert a public clamouring for premature opening up again as case-numbers fall and will recognise that these investments will have greater health and economic payoffs in the future. Since the second lock-down in Victoria was announced (Tuesday 7 July), progress with aspects of this ten-point plan has already been made with the closure of schools (other than for year 11 and 12, and special needs students), encouragement to wear masks in indoor environments (though we argue this needs to be mandatory), and commitments to improve contact tracing capacity.
We argue that Melbourne and Victoria should not waste the opportunity this lock-down presents. By learning from the lessons on social and preventive measures to lower SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility,9,10,12,13 and specifically the lessons from NZ,4 Taiwan and six of the eight Australia States and Territories that have achieved elimination, Victoria can increase its chances of also eliminating community transmission. There is the risk of failure – we cannot guarantee that our ten-point plan will achieve elimination, we cannot guarantee high compliance in measures by the Victoria population if a more stringent lock-down was imposed, and if the outbreak in NSW restarts community transmission then both NSW and Victoria will need to have elimination strategies for Australia to eliminate. But we argue that it would be a bigger failure to not enhance the probability of elimination by augmenting the current lock-down now. Our work and those of others who have independently considered the alternatives consistently demonstrates that elimination is possible, and if achieved optimal for health and long-term for the economy.4,14-16 Finally, we can only make estimates as to what the future holds. If a timely vaccine does not arrive, or treatments greatly improve, then for Australia to fully reintegrate with the rest of the world there may be a need to pivot to suppression and then mitigation. But we argue this is a decision better reserved for the future as the disease evolves and our knowledge improves; an Australia with no community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the near-term will be better and stronger for it.
Flaxman S, Mishra S, Gandy A, et al. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature 2020.
Hsiang S, Allen D, Annan-Phan S, et al. The effect of large-scale anti-contagion policies on the COVID-19 pandemic. Nature 2020.
Thompson J, McClure R, Blakely T, et al. Modelling the estimated likelihood of eliminating the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Australia and New Zealand under public health policy settings: an agent-based-SEIR approach. (SSRN 3588074 2020; https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3588074). under review 2020.
Bi Q, Wu Y, Mei S, et al. Epidemiology and transmission of COVID-19 in 391 cases and 1286 of their close contacts in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective cohort study. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2020.
Chu DK, Akl EA, Duda S, et al. Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection to prevent person-to-person transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. The Lancet 2020; 395(10242): 1973-87.
Daly J. COVID-19. The endgame and how to get there. Melbourne, Australia: The Grattan Institute, 2020.
Group of Eight A. COVID-19 Roadmap to Recovery: A Report for the Nation, 2020.
Chang S, Harding N, Zachreson C, Cliff O, Prokopenko M. Modelling transmission and control of the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia. arXiv 2020: arXiv:2003.10218v1 [q-bio.PE].
Ministry of Health. Aotearoa/New Zealand’s COVID-19 elimination strategy: an overview. Wellington, NZ: Ministry of Health,, 2020.
Li X, Xu W, Dozier M, et al. The role of children in transmission of SARS-CoV-2: A rapid review. J Glob Health 2020; 10(1): 011101.
2020.09.01 02:53 kezzaNZCoronavirus: 5 new community cases, 9 new border cases - 01/09
New Cases Total new cases: 14 New community cases: 5 New managed isolation cases: 9 The five new community cases are all clearly epidemiologically linked to cases that are either epidemiologically or genomically linked to the main cluster.
Two cases are household contacts of previously reported cases,
Three are all in a household that is linked to an existing case.
Running Totals Total cases: 1752 ( 14 ) Total community cases (season 2): 148 ( 5 ) Active Cases Recoveries: 13 All active cases: 132 ( 1 ) Active community cases: 99 ( -8 ) Hospitalisations: 10 ( -1 ) ICU: 2 ( 0 ) Testing Tests yesterday: 8,599 Seven day average: 0 Total tests: 766,626 Total tests season 2: 267,992 Close Contacts Close contacts identified: 2743 ( 122 ) Contacted and self isolating: 2676 ( 171 ) Contact rate: 98% COVID Tracer App Registers users: Over 2 million - this is more than half the population over 15 For comparison approx 30% of Australians have downloaded their app. Average daily poster scans: 1.7 million
Testing of staff Between the 21st and 27th of August 97% of all MIQ staff were tested and no staff tested positive. The 3% that were not test were on leave or did not enter a facility during the period. The next round of testing is now underway and is due to be completed by the 6th of Sept. Testing of returnee's From the 18th of July to 24th of August 97% of all returnees in MIQ completed their day 12 test, 95% completed their of day 3 tests. Of 12240 returnees, 11647 completed their day 3 test. Reasons why not they were not tested could be a child under 6 months, medical exemption, maritime or other transit passenger, or they refused a test. Contrary to recent reporting there is high level of testing compliance even though day 3 tests are not compulsory. No one leaves without a day 12 test. Most of those who decline the day 12 test end up taking one before they reach 28 days in MIQ. MIQ Capacity 44000 people have been through MIQ to date. We have capacity for 6628 returnees across 32 facilities, and there are 5535 people currently in MIQ, expected to rise to 5638 by the end of the week. Positive MIQ cases in Wellington and Christchurch All returnees that are transferred outside of Auckland are on dedicated charter flights, following Level 4 rules. MIQ has determined that its most effective to test returnees once they reach their destination.
2020.09.01 01:51 Pickup_your_nutsWhetu Tirikatene-Sullivan: New Zealand’s first Māori woman cabinet minister and its longest-serving woman MP 1932–2011
This biography, written by Helen Brown, was first published in the Dictionary of New Zealand Biography in 2018. Whetu Tirikatene-Sullivan was New Zealand’s first Māori woman cabinet minister, its longest-serving woman MP, and a staunch advocate in Parliament for Māori interests. An accomplished academic, social worker, designer, sportswoman and dancer, she paved the way for women to combine a political career with motherhood. The Treaty of Waitangi and the Rātana faith were central tenets of her personal and political life, and her parliamentary career was focused on the abolition of laws that oppressed Māori. She was also a New Zealand fashion icon with a distinctive sense of style which drew upon her whakapapa and celebrated her love of Māori design. Early life at Rātana Pā Tini Whetu Marama Tirikatene was born at Rātana pā, south of Whanganui, on 9 January 1932. Her mother Ruti (Lucy) Matekino Horomona (Solomon) was of Ngāi Tahu, Ngāti Pahauwera of Ngāti Kahungunu, Danish and Jewish descent. Her father Eruera Tirikatene was Ngāi Tahu, a descendant of the rangatira Tūhuru of Westland and of Motoitoi of Otago. He also had Ngāti Toa and English ancestry. Eruera was one of the prophet Tahupotiki Wiremu Rātana's political advisers, and the first Rātana (independent) MP elected to Parliament. He held the Southern Māori seat from 1932 until his death in 1967, from 1936 as a Labour member in a Rātana–Labour alliance. Before she was born, Rātana prophesied that Whetu would become a political leader and named her ‘Whetu Marama’ in an evocation of the Rātana symbol’s star and crescent moon. Whetu was the seventh child of 12 and the eldest surviving daughter. From an early age, she was raised by her maternal grandmother Amiria (Miria) Solomon because her parents travelled frequently on parliamentary business. Whetu spent her early years in the exclusively Māori environment of Rātana Pā. Her early education at the Native School and personal interactions with Rātana set the foundations for her deep, lifelong, Christian faith. School years The family lived in a number of places in the South Island during Whetu’s childhood, though she always regarded Rātana pā as her ‘real home.’ At some schools she was the only Māori student, and faced discrimination for the first time. This experience made her determined to succeed in the Pākehā education system, and later to advocate for the teaching of Māori language, history and culture in all New Zealand schools. Outside of school she worked hard, digging potatoes, concreting, doing the laundry and driving tractors. At Rangiora High School Whetu became a class leader. She excelled at shorthand, and in form five made headlines for typing at 240 words per minute – close to the world record. These skills proved valuable when she became an MP – she would produce her transcripts to challenge inaccuracies in the official record. She also played violin and cello in the school orchestra and was selected for the Christchurch Youth Orchestra. When the family moved to Wellington in 1949, Whetu attended Wellington East Girls’ College, where she was a prefect. She joined Victoria University College’s fencing club in form six and became one of the top four women fencers in New Zealand. She also did occasional fashion modelling, designed jewellery and clothes, and won national titles in ballroom and Latin American dancing. Political apprenticeship Working as an unpaid and unofficial assistant to her father laid the groundwork for Whetu’s future political career. While still at school, she volunteered as secretary and research officer for the Labour Party’s Māori Advisory Council and Māori Policy Committee – a role she filled for ten years. She also did secretarial work for the four Māori members and accompanied her father to tribal hui and official engagements. When she was elected to Parliament, she claimed to know practically every Māori family in the Southern Māori elecorate. In 1949 Whetu began working as a stenographer at the Royal New Zealand Air Force Headquarters in Wellington, where her shorthand skills were soon sought out by the Public Service Commissioners for various commissions of enquiry. In 1951 she was seconded from the RNZAF Headquarters to the Royal Tour Office of the Department of Internal Affairs as secretary to the assistant director of a planned royal tour. She travelled with the royal entourage as a member of New Zealand’s official party when Queen Elizabeth II toured the country in December 1953 and January 1954. The demanding tour schedule, work stress, and exposure to thousands of people took its toll, and Whetu was admitted to Wellington Hospital in April 1954 with tuberculosis. A four-year convalescence followed, first at the Ōtaki Sanatorium and then at the family home in Kaiapoi. During this period, she honed her interest in social work by acting as a spokesperson for other patients. Social worker, academic and emerging leader In 1958, Whetu was employed as a Māori welfare officer in Wellington by the Department of Māori Affairs. She also served as a child welfare officer in Rotorua and a social security welfare officer in Lower Hutt and Wellington. She continued to work voluntarily for the Māori MPs and studied part-time at Victoria University College. She graduated with a Diploma in Social Science in 1961 and completed a BA in 1965, majoring in Political Science and Public Administration. As women’s vice-president on the executive of the Victoria University Students’ Association (1960–61), and inaugural president of the Federation of Māori University Students, she advocated the teaching of te reo Māori and Māori Studies in New Zealand universities. In 1959 Whetu was made a Fellow of the Royal Anthropological Institute of Great Britain and Ireland. In 1965 she was awarded a postgraduate scholarship at the Australian National University in Canberra, where she commenced a PhD thesis on the alliance between the Labour Party and the Rātana movement. There she met fellow doctoral student Denis John Howard Sullivan. By the end of 1966 the couple had decided to marry and pursue their respective academic careers overseas. Whetu’s studies ended abruptly in 1967 when her father died, and she was called home to replace him in Parliament. Entering Parliament Whetu returned to New Zealand in January 1967, and was selected as the Labour candidate to contest the by-election in March. The Southern Māori seat covered a vast area, from Wairoa in the north to Rakiura (Stewart Island) in the south. She convincingly won the by-election, and at 35 was the youngest woman to have been elected to New Zealand’s Parliament to that time. After being elected she returned immediately to Australia, where she and Denis were married in a small ceremony in a Canberra registry office on 18 March. Whetu took the surname Tirikatene-Sullivan. In her maiden speech to Parliament, Whetu made clear that she was there as an advocate for Māori interests. Describing her father as her inspiration, she drew attention to the socio-economic disparities between Māori and Pākehā. She emphasised the importance of Māori education and the need for government policies to address the gap between Māori and Pākehā achievement. Her early parliamentary career was spent in opposition, where she strongly opposed aspects of the controversial Māori Affairs Amendment Act 1967 which cut across the rights of Māori landowners. She supported the Ngāitahu Māori Trust Board in its opposition to aspects of 1969’s Electoral Amendment Bill. Mana wāhine In 1967 Whetu was one of two Māori among the six women in the House. She immediately challenged some of Parliament’s patriarchal norms, including the exclusion of women from a visitors’ area in the House and from Bellamy’s bar. She pointed out that mothers of young children comprised 23 per cent of the adult population and should be represented in the House. When her first child May-Ana was born in 1970, Whetu was the first member to give birth while Parliament was in session. She returned to work within weeks and cared for her daughter in her office, an arrangement then considered extraordinary. A second daughter, Lisa Marie, was born in 1972 but died at the age of three months. The birth of her son Tirikatene (Tiri) in 1974 is thought to have been the first to a cabinet minister in the British Commonwealth. Whetu contributed to the normalisation of the idea of women combining career and parenthood, paving the way for later parliamentarians and New Zealand women in general. In her early parliamentary career Whetu took a feminist approach to some women’s issues. She attended the United Nations International Women’s Year conference in Mexico in June 1975, where she was hailed for speaking out against the political manipulation that had removed basic feminist concerns from the agenda. In 1977 she railed against the Contraception, Sterilisation, and Abortion Bill (which restricted access to abortion), arguing that abortion was ‘fundamental to a woman’s ability to participate equally in society’. She later modified this view, concerned at the high rate of abortion among Māori and Pasifika women. Whetu was also one of the few women to speak on the marae at Rātana Pā during pōwhiri, and as Minister of Tourism the first woman to speak on Tūrangawaewae marae at Ngāruawāhia. New Zealand’s first Māori woman cabinet minister, 1972–1975 When Labour came to power in 1972 Whetu was appointed Minister of Tourism and Associate Minister of Social Welfare, making her the first Māori woman cabinet minister. The social welfare portfolio appeared to provide an opportunity to advance the Rātana agenda of seeking statutory equality and justice for Māori, but in reality her ability to influence the minister, Norman King, was limited. As tourism minister, Whetu was keen to transform the heavily male-dominated tourism industry. She promoted domestic tourism, opened a New Zealand tourism bureau in Tokyo, and encouraged the use of New Zealand crafts and Māori design in the souvenir trade. She also served as Minister for the Environment for a year following a 1974 cabinet reshuffle. The politics of fashion Design and dressmaking was a lifelong passion for Whetu, whose signature style was unique in the history of New Zealand fashion. Dressed in beautifully designed garments featuring Māori motifs, she was a distinctive presence in Parliament. She was keenly aware of the political statement she made through her design choices. In 1972 Whetu and Denis personally supported the development of Māori fashion design by establishing a boutique in Wellington which sold Māori and Polynesian-inspired garments made by local designers. Whetu, resplendent in a gown designed by Kura Ensor featuring a red, black and white kōwhaiwhai pattern, was at the forefront of the group that met the 1975 Māori land marchers at Parliament. The dress was bold, contemporary, unmistakably Māori, and signalled Whetu’s solidarity with the marchers. Legislation to establish the Waitangi Tribunal had just been passed, and though Whetu had been instrumental in its development, she was critical that it could only address grievances arising from Crown actions from 1975 on. Parliamentary service, 1975–1996 Labour was back in opposition for three terms from 1975, with Whetu the spokesperson on social welfare and family affairs until 1980. She lobbied for more Māori content in broadcasting and the establishment of a Māori television unit, and for the correct pronunciation of Māori place names. She also initiated a series of private members’ bills seeking official status for te reo Māori (later conferred by the Māori Language Act 1987). As chair of Labour’s Māori Policy Committee from 1979 to 1986, Whetu was frustrated by her party’s consistent lack of enthusiasm for recognising the rights of tangata whenua under the Treaty of Waitangi. When the fourth Labour government came to power in 1984, Whetu was not offered a cabinet portfolio. She continued to work on causes she believed in, lobbying for the inclusion of a treaty clause in the State-Owned Enterprises Act, promoting local government planning, and seeking protection for Māori fishing grounds. She also served for many years on the Māori affairs and electoral law select committee, which eventually supported legislation allowing Māori to vote anywhere within their Māori electorate. In keeping with Rātana philosophy, Whetu was pan-Māori in her approach and regarded an emphasis on tribal affiliation as divisive. She was therefore troubled by the Labour government’s restructuring of the Department of Māori Affairs in the 1980s, which foreshadowed a devolution to iwi authorities of matters previously dealt with by the government. Along with organisations such as the Māori Women’s Welfare League and the Rātana movement, she lobbied for the involvement in the political process of Māori who had lost their tribal connections. By the mid-1980s Whetu was sometimes portrayed in the media as moderate in comparison with younger urban activists. She acknowledged that she had not been ‘a high-profile person’ and that much of her work had been done ‘behind the scenes’. In 1993 a National government recognised her decades of service by admitting her to the 20-person Order of New Zealand, the country’s highest honour. Relationship with Ngāi Tahu Whetu had a difficult and sometimes acrimonious relationship with the leaders of her iwi, Ngāi Tahu. A new generation of Ngāi Tahu leaders regarded some of the laws sponsored by Whetu’s father as paternalistic, out-dated, and unjust Crown impositions. In 1969 the Ngāitahu Māori Trust Board petitioned for the repeal of the Ngāitahu Claims Settlement Act 1944, but Whetu was steadfast in her opposition. She felt the petition implicitly questioned her father’s credibility. She also opposed the trust board’s attempts to create a legal personality for the iwi in the lead-up to Ngāi Tahu’s treaty settlement with the Crown in the 1990s, though Ngāi Tahu beneficiaries voted overwhelmingly in favour of the Te Rūnanga o Ngāi Tahu Bill. Whetu argued that the process of drafting the bill had been undemocratic and that the tribal leadership lacked a mandate, and continued to press these points in parliamentary debates and select committee hearings. Eventually a number of amendments satisfied her enough that she did not vote against the bill on its second reading. Subsequently the iwi authority Te Rūnanga o Ngāi Tahu came into being. Whetu continued to scrutinise its actions for the rest of her life. Life after politics In the 1996 general election, after almost 30 years of service over ten successive terms, Whetu narrowly lost her seat in Parliament when the New Zealand First Party secured all five Māori seats. She retired from politics, bringing an end to the Tirikatene legacy of 64 years of parliamentary service – at least until her nephew Rino Tirikatene was elected in 2011. After a lifetime in Parliament, she was able to devote more time to her family and her health, though she continued to work with former constituents whose families had known hers for generations. In 2004, in an echo of the 1975 land march, Whetu called the Hīkoi mo te Takutai (foreshore and seabed hīkoi) onto the forecourt of Parliament. Whetu died in Wellington on 20 July 2011, aged 79, after suffering a stroke. In keeping with her wishes, she was cremated after a private family service. Hundreds attended a public memorial service to celebrate her life and achievements on 12 August at Wellington’s Cathedral of St Paul. She was survived by her husband, two children, and two beloved mokopuna. Source
2020.08.31 15:44 GothamByNightWhy Lordstown Motors (DPHC) is the most legit EV play and is going to blast off in the next month
I was lucky enough to stumble upon DPHC one week ago, and have been all-in ever since. While I'm currently sitting at +25% already, I'm well committed to this one and plan to hold until the stock gets into $30s territory. I'm expecting that to happen within September. The stock is trading at ridiculously lower multiples relative to others in the EV space (SHLL, Nikola) even though the company has much more to brag about and is actually much farther in their development timeline. Lordstown Motors and their DPHC SPAC have already agreed on a merger, and the target date is in October, at which point we should see institutional investors pour in. Until then, through September, I'm confident we should see a run-up equivalent to others EV stocks such as SHLL & NKLA. Final FYI, options aren't available yet but will be soon. Warrants are available for those who want more leverage, but I personally find the commons more attractive at the moment. I've focused my DD on the reasons why I think the company is a winner, rather than their truck's specifications, but I've linked their Investors Brochure at the bottom where you can find a lot more about the truck itself, and their financials (such as pro-forma valuations). --------- Their go-to-market strategy of targeting the commercial fleet market is the most profitable, most cost-efficient, and the fastest way to break into the EV market:
Large market, with customers that have incentives and budgets to switch to greener operations (US Full-sized fleet pickup truck market estimated at $65bn)
Avoids complex retail sales network (typically one of the trickier issues to solve for new OEMs)
Large order volumes with sticky contracts (think USPS for ex)
Highly underserved market (no EV-focused competitors targeting the space)
Lordstown’s Endurance truck is highly competitive versus traditional ICE (internal combustion engines) currently found in the commercial fleet market, with an estimated 5x better mileage equivalent vs. ICE pickup trucks, and 65% lower maintenance costs vs. ICE pickup trucks
This company is legit, as proven by its world-class exec team & the institutions (GM, Fidelity, Blackrock) that are backing the company: Exec Team brings a combined 180+ years in EV and conventional OEM space:
Steve Burns, CEO: Co-founder and former CEO of Workhorse Group
John Lafleur, COO: Former VP of Vehicle Programs at Workhorse
- Rick Schmidt, CPO (production): Leading force behind the design, conversion, and improvement of over 12 automotive plants including Tesla’s facility in Fremont, CA
Darren Post, Chief Eng. Officer: 30+ years in the OEM business, most recently developed Karma Automotive’s plug-in hybrid electric vehicle
John VO, Director of Propulsion: former Head of Global Manufacturing for Tesla
Julio Rodriguez, CFO: successfully coordinated multiple cap raises in the EV space
Here are some of the investors (GM for $75M, the others for combined +$400M) that backed Lordstown in a funding round in parallel to their SPAC announcement:
With ~$1.4bn in pre-orders (!), their own manufacturing plant in Ohio (!), a drivable prototype that has completed virtual crash testing, Lordstown is on excellent path to begin deliveries in 2021: Pre-orders Breakdown: - Lordstown has already received ~27k pre-orders, with an average order size of ~300 trucks. Pretty validating sign. Amongst others, orders come from Clean Fuels Ohio, Duke Energy, FirstEnergy, GridX, ServPrq, Summit Petroleum Inc, and Turner Mining Group - If fulfilled, those pre-orders alone represent potential revenue sufficient to cover 2021 production and into 2022 Why it matters that they have their own manufacturing plant in Ohio:
Lordstown acquired a 6.2M square foot former GM plant in Ohio, the same way Tesla had bought Toyota & GM’s Fresno plant in 2010 (known now as the Tesla Factory). The plant has a capacity of 600,00 vehicles per year and an estimated replacement value of +$3bn
The plant is well equipped – it was most recently used to manufacture the Chevy Cruze – and requires only modest engineering and retooling to begin production (projected ~$120M across stamping, body shop, paint, battery packing, hub motor manufacturing, and general assembly; full cost breakdown included in their investor materials)
Given the location of the plant, Lordstown is a candidate for a $37.5M grant from Jobs Ohio, while also being a candidate for ~250M loan under the federal Advanced Technology Vehicles Manufacturing (ATVM) Loan Program.
The latter is the same loan that helped put Tesla on the map and is of particular interest here because of the political significance of Ohio as a swing state. Trump (unsuccessfully) promised in the past to save the GM Lordstown Ohio plant – the same one we’re discussing here – and last week Mike Pence visited the factory during the unveiling of Lordstown Motors’ new truck. Taking this into account, and given the importance of jobs in the area, and the importance of EVs as an eco-friendly space, it isn’t unrealistic to predict that Lordstown Motors could be eligible for the ATVM loan in the future, whether it’s from the administration of the next
Finally, having a plant as they do is a clear edge and/or validating sign relative to others in their space. Indeed, Hyliion for ex. has no plant at all at the moment, and Fisker has no plant and is outsourcing manufacturing and supply chains to their OEM partner
So what does the production timeline looks like now?
Per reminder, Lordstown has already achieved the following from a production perspective:
Completed virtual crash testing
Key component supply secured through GM (they have access to GM’s parts catalogue which saves them months in design timing and millions in certification costs)
Finalizing engineering and certification preparations
Moving forward, Lordstown is targeting:
Pre-production runs during Q3 & Q4 of this year
Full production during Q1 & Q2 of next year
Beginning deliveries in Q3 of next year
The timeline is aggressive, and Covid probably doesn’t help, but it’s not unrealistic and the company has taken the right steps so far. If they can pull this off, they will be extremely well positioned relative to others in the EV Space (Ford & GM plan to have trucks but not before 2022, Nikola & Hyliion won’t begin deliveries before 2022 at best, Tesla’s Cybertruck is planned for 2021 as well but isn’t catering the same sector, and Rivian (which is the most legitimate competitor) has planned launch in 2021 as well but their timing has already been pushed out once and their focus will probably be on fulfilling Amazon’s large order for quite some time.
Notes: If Ch4 does well enough on here it won’t be on the main TWDG sub and it’s probably better that way to reduce clutter. It’s also on AO3. Also i got internet again so i can post chapters when they are done however I just finished this chapter so yeah. Anyway enjoy! The person who was yelling sounded familiar… this time however it was of a woman who was not some traitor. Kenny looked out of the window and his thoughts were confirmed. It was Christa. No doubt out here looking for Wellington and Clementine. He was shocked and not shocked at the same time. Finding Christa was the best day he has had since he found Clementine. Well, the first part of that day anyway. However, he knew Christa was heading to Wellington and finding her on his travel from there wasn’t impossible. She continued yelling “Anyone here!? I’m going to freeze out here!” Kenny instantly ran to the door and opened it “Christa!” He yelled to let her know shelter was here and he was actually alive to her knowledge. Christa was shocked. “Wait? Kenny!?” She ran inside. She sat down and Kenny did as well Christa quickly questioned how Kenny was alive “I thought you died in Savannah? How could you make it out of that…” Kenny had to warn Christa this was a long story. “It’s a long story… as you probably know I thought I could save that shitbird, Ben. Walkers came and I used the last bullet to make sure Ben didn’t turn. I thought I was gonna die but I saw a window I could open and went through it. Even if Ben fucked up a lot Christa still felt sorry for him ”Poor kid.” Kenny continued ”I don’t want to talk about what happened after that… anyway someone named Sarita found me and we ended up finding a ski lodge. We were there for several weeks. Then the best and worst things happened. We were in a argument with some people and then… Clementine walked through. Christa was shocked “Wait? You found Clementine! Where is she?” Kenny still had a lot to tell “I will get to that in a bit. “We we’re happy but our nice night was ruined as this asshole named Carver or Bill or whatever the fuck came and thought killing and kidnapping us was the perfect plan. I killed one of their guys but i had to surrender as they were gonna kill Sarita. Anyway shit happened and Clementine had to do a lot of work for the group we were there because of to escape and Luke, someone in that group fucked everything up and we were found out. I wasn’t letting Clementine get hurt so I covered for her and here’s the answer to something else you are wondering about… my eye. Carver beat me up and i lost my eye. But I regret nothing… I would die for Clementine. Christa was sorry for Kenny “Oh my fucking god… that’s crazy. Sorry that I couldn’t help. I wish I treated Clementine better.” Kenny questioned her “What do you mean?” Christa went on “Since Omid died I always blamed Clementine for it and never had a good attitude to her. I still looked after her but I should have been better about it.” Kenny had done his fair share of mistakes as well “We all make mistakes. It would be a lie to say I haven’t. Anyway i will get back to my story.” “After that we made a new plan. Clementine basically saved our asses and we escaped but someone just had to start screaming and get people killed… Sarita was bit and I yelled at Clementine even though if it wasn’t for her she would have died right then and there. We regrouped at some place called ‘Parkers Run’ and i was a broken man. Clementine tried to help me and i had to kill Satrita. There was a pregnant woman named Rebecca. Well she was due and we had to find somewhere to get her to. Instead of helping Luke and… Jane thought it was a good time to ’fuck’ around. Anyway once we all got there that's when we met AJ. Clementine got to hold him too. Christa questioned about AJ “So where’s the baby?” Kenny answered “With Clementine but I will get to that. We got moving the next day and some Russian fuckers attacked us for no reason unless Jane musta done something behind our backs. One of them offered to help us after claiming to not want to see any more people die. His name was Arvo. We found some power station. It was Luke’s birthday so we had a drink and chat and i told Clementine i was sorry for yelling at her. The next day we went over ice and Luke and Bonnie died. If not for Arvo they would still be alive. Then Arvo and Mike stole everything we had and Arvo SHOT Clementine!” Christa hated this ‘Arvo’ from him shooting Clementine alone. “I hope he is dead. Anyone who shoots her should be. That's just fucked up. You don't shoot kids or leave them to starve.” Kenny replied “Well lets find out what happened to him.Anyway I ran straight out and helped Clementine. We got AJ and went in the pick up I started up. Now Jane thought once Clementine woke up would be the perfect time to start being a bitch. She wouldn’t stop and we ran into a bunch of cars i had to look for gas anyway. Jane made Clementine drive off and she hid AJ and implied she killed him. She wanted a fight and could have stopped it but she didn’t so I killed her. Christa understood Kenny. “I would have too. If someone killed my baby they deserve death.” Kenny kept telling his story. “We heard AJ and Clementine still trusted me after that so we went on the search for Wellington. We had some chats along the way and after nine days. We found it.” Christa was surprised they actually found it “You found Wellington!? Thats where i was heading.” Kenny replied “I know. Clementine told me. So there was a problem Wellington had no room. I told them to just take Clementine and AJ and they actually did. I gave Clementine my cap and we parted ways.” Christa was happy to know Clementine was safe but still wished she could have found her. “Shame I didn’t find you two before then. At least she is safe and that’s what matters.” Kenny continued. “Six days after that i found Arvo and Mike. I gave Arvo a panful death and let Mike go. I soon found this rest stop. Tried to leave the next day but this blizzard came and that leads to now.” Christa replied “Arvo got what he deserved by the sounds of it.” Now Kenny wanted to hear what had Christa been doing. “So what’s your story from when the bandits attacked? Clementine told me enough of before.” Christa went on “So Clementine told me to run and i did. However i got shot but since I passed out they thought i was dead. I woke up sometime later and looked for Clementine. After a few days i found a cabin and i found a picture of Clementine in one of the rooms. Should have seen her face. Whoever took it surprised her good. However since no one was there I assumed she was already gone and I figured probably up north to find Wellington and me. Kenny replied “Yeah Clementine was with some group when i found her. They must have been at that cabin.” Christa didn’t realise just how closely she missed finding Clementine. “Only if i found it sooner. i could have gone north to the mountains with them and helped out. Could have saved people. Anyway so I walked for awhile. Nothing important happened and after about 2 weeks we come to today. I was walking along this road when the blizzard started and you know the rest.” Kenny questioned what they were gonna do now “So since you have found me what’s your plan now considering Wellington is off. I was gonna head south a little to where this snow ain’t so bad.” Christa answered “Probably just surviving with you. I don’t have anything else to do now that Wellington is full and Clementine is there.” Kenny told Christa “Well once this blizzard settles we should go. Sooner we get to the border of the state the better.” Christa wanted a map of the state “Any maps in here? They could be of use. Especially if we need to find Wellington again. If we stick near the roads we should be able to pin point our location using the signs.” Kenny answered “There were some magazines over there.” Kenny pointed over to the shelf they were on. “There might be one.” Christa walked over to the shelf and soon found a map of the state. She showed it to Kenny. The map had where the rest stop was and most towns that could fit. “See we are here. There’s the town called Wellington over there and Wellington must be near there. This road will connect with some other roads and head down near the border.” Kenny questioned “So we just follow this road south and get to the border?” Christa answered “Yep. We should go around the towns though. Savannah was a disaster.” Kenny wanted to know how many supplies Christa had “You got anything on you? I have some stuff if you need it.” Christa Answered “Nope those bandits forced me to leave everything. I have been hunting Whenever i can but i have nothing at the moment.” Kenny replied “Well then i can get you something.” Kenny got his duffel bag that Wellington gave him and got a small can of beans out and a bottle of water “Not the best tasting stuff but it will keep ya living.” “Thanks” Christa began eating Kenny in the meantime got his toothbrush out and brushed his teeth. He had to make sure to use only a little bit of water as it was important to save it. Some hours passed. The blizzard had stopped though there was still a touch of wind. Christa told Kenny “That Blizzard has stopped. We should get going.” Kenny replied “Yeah we should. Lets pack up and go.” They all packed up and went out. Christa took the backpack while Kenny took the duffel bag Christa went to make conversation “Nearly new years by now. I forget the exact date it is now. Maybe we will find someone who has been counting the dates.” Kenny replied “All i know that it’s probably the last half of December. The ski lodge we were at had Christmas decorations with lights too.” Christa questioned Kenny “Wait you had power?” Kenny answered “Yep! We had a wind turbine that gave us enough power to light the place up and cook meals. Someone named Walter was the cook and he made a mean can of beans.” Christa replied “That sounded like a pretty good spot to stay.” Kenny answered “It sure was. Issue is Carver’s people know where it is and they are probably gonna want me dead as I killed Carver after all. also it isn't going to be easy to defend with just us two.” Christa replied ”Lets hope we don't run into them then.” Christa just remembered something she had ”You know that picture of Clementine I told you about?” Kenny questioned ”Yeah what about it? Christa answered ”I have it here somewhere.” Christa went through her pockets as they kept walking. Christa soon got it and showed Kenny Kenny was amused ”They definitely got Clementine good there! Haven’t seen that look on Clem’s face for quite a while.” Christa replied “Good thing i kept it then.” Kenny gave the photo back and Christa put it away in her pocket They kept walking on. They took breaks whenever they needed however soon it was getting dark Kenny found a old campsite “Christa over here. We can set up here for the night.” Christa commented on it “We were at a camp a lot like this when Clementine and I were separated. Damn bandits wouldn’t believe me when i said I wasn’t with a group. It was only half true but a single kid isn’t much.” Kenny replied to Christa “Not when it’s Clementine. That kid has done a lot. Seriously you would be proud of her.” Christa remembered when she was comparing to Clementine “Funny to think i complained about Clementine not tending to a fire and she ends up being a life saver to you.” Kenny replied “Real funny. Maybe she remembered that.” He joked Christa went along with it “Maybe she did.” Kenny told Christa “Well we should have something to eat and get some rest.” Kenny got to the bag and passed some canned food to Christa Water as well. The Darkness of the night soon fell all around them. Stars shined bright as light pollution was something of the past. If there was one thing Christa liked about the apocalypse it was the much more interesting night sky without all of that light pollution “If there’s one thing about this world that’s good. It’s the night sky these days. I remember back when the sky was nothing more than some stars and a moon.” Kenny agreed “You can say that again. Light pollution sucks. Anyway I better catch some sleep. Oh and if you need blankets they are in that bag.” Kenny pointed to his bag. Kenny went to his little set up. He made sure he had a blanket and slept. Christa soon slept after a few minutes as well. End Notes: Did you guess who it was correctly? Anyway next chapter will be in the works soon. I seem to be getting a chapter ready in 5-7 days
2020.08.30 15:59 powerfunk[Rolex] Every discontinued model name in Rolex history
This is my attempt to list every discontinued model name that has appeared on a Rolex watch. Often when old/random Rolex model names are brought up online, people mention watches released under the standalone Oyster brand (like Essex, Lincoln, Edison, Grenfell, Lipton, Lady Dudley, Junior Sport, Raleigh, Commander, Recorda, Chester, Regent, Shipmate, and Pioneer). Here I will focus strictly on proper Rolexes. I don't really consider movement designations to be model names (like Chronometer, Observatory, Extra/Ultra Prima, Standard, Anti-Magnetique and Precision) so I won't include those. Rolex trademarked tons of names that they never used and I'm only including ones I could find pics of. If anyone knows of any others I'm forgetting, please let me know! Here's the list of 50+ discontinued Rolex model names that I could find. They're in alphabetical order except when it makes sense to mention models together: Air-Tiger, Air-Giant, and Air-Lion - Rolex tried 4 "Air" names beginning in the late 1940's, but only "Air-King" stuck. Air-King-Date and Explorer-Date - Ref. 5700 (smooth bezel) and 5701 (fluted bezel) were released under both the "Air-King-Date" and "Explorer-Date" names. These are some of the only Rolexes with dates that change over slowly from about 9pm-2am instead of clicking cleanly around midnight. Army Athlete - The vast majority of Oyster cases have a similastandard sort of lug shape, but the Athlete has distinctive straight lugs. Campbell - Named for one of Rolex's first official ambassadors, Sir Malcolm Campbell. Campbell once simultaneously held the land speed and water speed records. Centregraph and Zerographe - The Zerographe/Centregraph was a monopusher chronograph made in 1937. It was quickly discontinued and never reached serial production, which is bizarre because Rolex clearly put a lot of effort into it as it had Rolex's first in-house (but still not manufacture) chronograph movement and Rolex's first rotating bezel. Perhaps patent infringement issues were involved, as the very similar (and very patented) Weems Watch by Longines debuted around the same time, and some later Centregraphs and Zerographs were made minus the rotating bezel. Rolex also put the name "Centregraph" on a few plain-Jane Oyster Perpetuals for some reason. Clive Commando - Supposedly this was originally only available at US military bases in 1969, and later some appeared for sale at Abercrombie & Fitch stores in 1972. The fat hands of the 6429 are pretty sweet. Corvette Drake Dustproof - I'm not entirely sure that "Dustproof" was meant as a model name rather than some sort of designation. Interestingly, the word "Oyster" never appears on a Dustproof even though most of them are Oyster models. Elegante Ellsworth Everest - Rolex toyed with the "Everest" moniker before the more successful "Explorer" name took off. Falcon Firefly GMT-Master - Obviously the GMT-Master II is still going strong, but technically GMT-Master was a different model name. Ref. 16700 was the final GMT-Master. Hurricane Imperial King Midas and Queen Midas - Gerald Genta designed the King Midas, and it had 3 firsts for Rolex: a sapphire crystal, a hidden clasp, and an integrated bracelet. Elvis wore one. There are some ladies' versions too, and the Queen Midas isn't just a cute nickname--it's written on the clasp. The later Midases were considered part of the Cellini collection. Ladydate Leigh Majestic and Seaforth - These watches were sometimes advertised together; they're the same thing except the Seaforth has a seconds subdial. The Majestic cost slightly more; having a center seconds hand was considered a feature back then. Many of these models are marked "Observatory." Marconi - Marconi was mostly an early sub-brand of Rolex, and many Marconi watches had Rolex improperly painted on much later. However, at least some Rolex watches were legitimately released with Marconi as the model name. Meritus Metropolitan Monometer - A short-lived alternative name for the first Turn-O-Graph. Orchid - This name was used for decades on various small gold ladies' watches, often with wacky shapes. Oyster - While the Oyster brand is obviously still hugely important to Rolex, they no longer use "Oyster" as a standalone model name like they used to. Oysterdate Oysterquartz - "Oysterquartz" was more of a product line than a model name per se, but I feel like it's worth mentioning. The Oysterquartz Day-Date and Oysterquartz Datejust were in the Rolex catalog from the late 1970's until the early 2000's. Some of the first OQ Datejusts said "Datejust" at the top and "Oysterquartz" at the bottom, instead of the more common "Oysterquartz Datejust" at the top with chronometer text at the bottom. Pall Mall Prince - Prince may have been the first model name Wilsdorf ever put on a watch; in the beginning he was just focusing on getting the word "Rolex" out there. Prince wristwatches were made from the 1920's-1940's. Rolex revived the Prince model in the early 2000's and gave it a clear caseback; it remained an option on Rolex.com as late as 2015. Princess - Princess never actually appeared on a dial without "Sporting" preceding it, but it was clearly used by Rolex as a distinct model, including variants like the 8 Facets, Trapeze, Glayola, Egyptian, Lotus, Rochettina, and Bouts Arrondis (Rounded Edge). Other model names from the 1930's that never appeared on a dial include Dauphine, Duchess, Marquis and Queen. Prince Elegant, Prince Elegante, Prince Royal, and Prince Imperial - Rolex apparently tried several variants of the Prince name, sometimes even on pocket watches. The Prince was known as the "doctor's watch" because of its relatively easy-to-read, large seconds subdial. This was before center seconds hands were common, and the minute/hour hands did not overlap at all with the seconds area (except on the Prince Elegant/Elegante models). Prince Brancard, Prince Railway, and Prince Classic are other designations that Rolex sometimes used in advertising, though I don't believe those names ever appeared on a dial. The unique Prince watches with center seconds are sometimes referred to as "Prince Aerodynamic" but I don't think that name appeared on a dial, either. Sporting Prince and Sporting Princess - A portable fold-up watch was called a "travel watch" when marketed to men and a "purse watch" when marketed to women. Rolex apparently made a few wristwatches with "Sporting Princess" on the dial, too. Royal, Royalite, and Royal Giant - Rolex threw the word "Royal" on a lot of entry-level manual-wind references with seconds subdials in the 1930's and 1940's. Royalites, meanwhile, almost always had center seconds. By the 1950's Rolex had apparently dropped the Royalite moniker, and the Royal kept on trucking for another decade or so (with center seconds now). I believe most Royals and Royalites are between 30 and 32mm wide. Some later Royals were 34mm, including the rare Royal Giant. I suppose it's worth mentioning that Tudor released an Asia-only line of Royal watches in 2020. Scientific Skyrocket Space-Dweller - Short-lived Explorer alternative. Speed Speedking and Speedking Elegant - The "Speedking" moniker appeared on several manual-wind 30mm references from the 1940's-1960's. The "Speedking Elegant" name only briefly appeared on the 33mm reference 4365, which was also the first reference to be named "Air-King." Air-King clearly won that marketing battle. Sport and Sporting Model Submarine and Aqua - The Rolex Oyster wasn't the first waterproof wristwatch, just the first commercially successful/viable one. The Submarine (a.k.a. "Aqua") is a hermeticwatch; several other brands made similar waterproof watches in the early 1920's. It seems Wilsdorf was later considering using Aqua as a standalone alternative to the Oyster brand; there are even some "Aqua Patent" crowns. "Aqua" most frequently appears on dials co-branded by Solar, the watch brand of Eaton's (a Canadian department store). Indian retailer names like P. Orr & Sons and Lund & Blockley can be found on other Aquas. Transcontinental - The Datejust Transcontinental (ref. 6602, circa 1957) is exceedingly rare; it's the only Rolex ever made with a 12-hour rotating bezel. It's basically a Turn-O-Graph with a different bezel. According to an old forum rumor, the founder of Delta Airlines owned one. Turn-O-Graph - This iconic model lasted from the early 1950's until 2014 or so, but only the first and last generations of Turn-O-Graph have it written on the dial. Tru-Beat This model was designed to only tick once per second so doctors could easily count pulses. Nowadays most of the ones left have a broken stop-seconds complication, in which case they "sweep" like a normal Rolex. Verislim and Veriflat Wellington If you see something else on a dial (like Asprey, Astrua, Verga, Beyer, etc.) it's possible it could be a retailer co-branding rather than a model name. Thanks for reading!
2020.08.30 10:00 keiraopalUpdate: Dating in Wellington in your 20's
2 months ago today I made a post on here about Dating in Wellington https://www.reddit.com/Wellington/comments/hgjirz/dating_in_wellington_in_your_20s/. I had several bad dating experiences from Tinder and Bumble, and had deleted all my apps and I genuinely wanted to know how everyone's experience have been in meeting new people, because dating in our generation really has changed in many positive and negative ways. All you amazing human beings who left a comment - thank you! There was one particular comment that caught my eye, and I private messaged the person with no intention but curiosity to catch up and share with one another our crazy online dating experiences. It's crazy how life can be. For all I knew this could be a 50 year old guy pretending to be in his mid-20's, but it was the most insane coincidence. At this point, we added one another on messenger and his profile picture is of him in a Santa suit. We found out that we lived opposite one another on the same street, we had previously met before very briefly for a moment at a bar (funny how that happens in Wellington? Good ol' Wellington), he saw me at the bar on a bad tinder date (the guy showed up drunk). I found out I live with his doctor, we work in the same industry, and at that point we both thought the other person was a stalker (haha). We stayed up every night talking til 2am. The sleep deprivation was real. We've now been dating for 2 months, and recently went travelling in NZ together (gotta boost that economy plus there are so many beautiful places, we are blessed to live in this beautiful country) I guess I just really wanted to write this update post to say that sometimes in life you just have to go with your gut, bite the bullet and just do it, because you never know what's going to happen.
2020.08.30 01:01 BurnerOT8577US ER Nurse looking to GTFO and become a Kiwi
Howdy, y'all. I'm an experienced emergency department nurse from the States. My job has been hard enough already- I was working in my ER the day a Nazi-related mass casualty event happened- but now having to deal with working in a COVID hotzone while our hospital has to look on the black market and fight against others to buy necessary supplies... it culminated last night, the busiest shift I have ever worked, when a patient pissed all over the floor of their room and said it was because they knew COVID was a hoax and we were all pretending to be busy as a conspiracy to keep the President from being re-elected, so we deserved it. Done. So done. And if Biden doesn't win here, it's the last free election in the United States for quite some time. So I'd like to move somewhere with my family that has a sane government; less proto fascism, more competence, less chance of retaliation against political enemies, etc. I got my nursing credentials in with the New Zealand Nursing Council, but I haven't done anything else yet. But I think it's time. I just have no idea where to start with resources, advice, etc, aside from Google. I can watch "Moving to New Zealand!" videos on YouTube all day long, but even those that are a year or two old seem dated now. I currently work in a mid-sized metro area, so I was looking at Wellington? But really, as long as the pay is good and the people are friendly, I don't care. Any advice or suggestions on where to start would be appreciated. Thank you.
CSKA Sofia: G. Yomov (SUB 57'), Y. Sankharé (SUB 65'; YC 88'), A. Ahmedov (SUB 71'; G 75'), T. Jurić, T. Yordanov, D. Evtimov, M. Smolenski Sirens: J. Walker (SUB 30'), M. Mifsud (SUB 79'), R. Grech (SUB 82'), Romarinho, M. Montfort, J. Pearson, L. Grech
30': Substitution for Sirens: J. Walker in, Romeu out. 43': Yellow card shown to R. Scicluna ( Sirens). 46': Yellow card shown to J. Mattheij ( CSKA Sofia). 57': Substitution for CSKA Sofia: G. Yomov in, G. Carey out. 65': Substitution for CSKA Sofia: Y. Sankharé in, S. Beltrame out. 69': Goal! Maxuell scores — CSKA Sofia 0- Sirens . 71': Substitution for CSKA Sofia: A. Ahmedov in, A. Youga out. 73': Yellow card shown to B. Mazikou ( CSKA Sofia). 75': Goal! A. Ahmedov scores — CSKA Sofia -1 Sirens . 79': Substitution for Sirens: M. Mifsud in, Wellington Petinha out. 82': Substitution for Sirens: R. Grech in, T. Agius out. 88': Yellow card shown to Y. Sankharé ( CSKA Sofia). 90'+1': Goal! A. Sowe scores — CSKA Sofia -1 Sirens .
2020.08.27 04:47 felexplCheated by a guy on Facebook Marketplace in Wellington! what best course of action now?
So. In June I decided to buy a cheap car for recreation. I got one on Facebook marketplace with a guy in Wainuiomata, Wellington ( I am from Auckland). I was told the car was in good condition etc. and trusting him paid in the money in advance (I know this was stupid of me, I did it!! can't take it back :( ). I fixed a day and traveled to Wellington. On seeing the car, the car was in no good shape and the story was nothing like that in the advertisement. I requested the seller a buy-back offer ( suffering a loss, since I already purchased the car by paying full in advance!) because the car was unfit to even drive up to Auckland. He agreed, said that he does not have the money now (he apparently brought another car with my money!) and will pay back in installments. I took this in writing from him and returned to Auckland. The guy is active on Facebook, is ignoring my messages and has not honored his statement till date. What can I do in this situation? I don't have the car nor the money. ... FYI I have all the information in writing ( emails, chats, texts, photos of me returning the car, bank transfers etc). I can't go to the Dispute Tribunal as its not a dispute 'he doesn't deny' he needs to pay in but is just not paying or honoring his payment plan. .. Any suggestions Wellington? ... Much appreciated!
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